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Power Transition Theory | Hand of Reason

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South Asia’s Geography of Conflict – Robert D. Kaplan

Robert D. Kaplan has recently released a report that examines the pivotal role that both India and Afghanistan play in the strategic interest of the United States. According to Kaplan, India is a crucial pivot between China and the United States, with the potential of altering future relations between these two great powers as China’s influence within the international […]

Power Transition Theory

Power Transition Theory attempts to predict periods of heightened conflict within the international system by differentiating between global hegemons and potential challengers. The graph below gives a simplified overview of Power Transition Theory:   The probability of war will increase during the power transition, the shaded area, and conflict will result from one of two circumstances: The rising great […]